Why I’m Not Optimistic On Win 7 Mobile
Most of the initial reviews of Windows 7 Mobile have been positive. Microsoft was smart to toss out the old and build something new from scratch, there are some interesting UI ideas, and the first salvo of ads are at least intriguing.
Still, I’m betting it doesn’t get very far.
The biggest reason: not too long ago there was another technically solid phone with similarly positive reviews: The Palm Pre. And it obviously failed to gain critical mass. So someone tell me how Microsoft plans to succeed where Palm failed.
Second, Win 7 Mobile isn’t taking on just the iPhone (as the Pre was) – there’s also Google Android to contend with. Two is a choice; while the mainstream pretty much ignores the third option (the Mac ads are always “Mac vs. PC” – there is no “Linux” character).
Oh, and for what it’s worth:
The safe bet is Win 7 Mobile takes third place for the foreseeable future.